Economic Research

Financial Market Weekly

Title Date

FED WAITING ON INVESTMENT NOW BEFORE RETURNING RATES TO NORMAL


07-21-2017

READY OR NOT, THE FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT IS WIDENING IN THE FIRST "SIX MONTHS" OF THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION


07-14-2017

222K + 47K REVISIONS EQUALS 269K MORE JOBS, JOBS, JOBS


07-07-2017

Economic expansion begins year nine tomorrow. Is recession right around the corner?


06-30-2017

BOND MARKET LOW-YIELD CONUNDRUM REVISITED


06-23-2017

STOCK MARKET SELL-OFF: STILL WAITING FOR IT, YOU SHOULD TOO


06-16-2017

WAITING FOR BANKS TO LEND AGAIN


06-09-2017

SLOW JOBS REPORT AS ECONOMY RUNS SMACK INTO THE FULL EMPLOYMENT WALL


06-02-2017

1.2% GDP NOW IN FIRST QUARTER BETTER THAN 0.7% BEFORE


05-26-2017

IT'S A CRAZY MIXED UP WORLD EXCEPT WHEN IT COMES TO GROWTH


05-19-2017

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY REMAINS STRONG


05-12-2017

RED-HOT LABOR MARKET, BUT COMPANIES AREN'T GIVING IT AWAY


05-05-2017

REAL GDP SLOWS TO 0.7% IN Q1 2017, HURTING FULL YEAR FORECAST


04-28-2017

NOT MY INFLATION


04-21-2017

FISCAL STIMULUS REQUIRES FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT SPENDING, DOESN'T IT?


04-14-2017

98K Ouch! Great American Jobs machine stops cranking under Trump


04-07-2017

2.1% GDP FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS WHEN YOU IGNORE "INVESTMENT" TREND


03-31-2017

STOCK MARKET SINKS TRUMP RALLY THIS WEEK WITH 3% LOSS


03-24-2017

FED POLICY IN 2017: ONE DOWN TWO TO GO


03-17-2017

235K JOBS, 4.7% RATE, 2.8% WAGE, HIKE, HIKE HIKE, 50 BPS ANYONE, ANYONE


03-10-2017

GDP ECONOMY IS STILL 1.9%, BUT CONSUMER IS POWER LIFTING 3.0%


03-03-2017

MORE EVIDENCE THAT THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IS OVER 20%


02-24-2017

THE COMMERCIAL BUILDING BOOM CONTINUES UNCHECKED 02-17-2017


02-17-2017

THE HAVES AND HAVE NOTS


02-10-2017

BIG JOBS 227K IN JANUARY AFTER DOWNWARD REVISIONS LAST YEAR


02-03-2017

GDP 1.9% IN FINAL QUARTER OF OBAMA YEARS: 1.6% FOR ALL OF 2016


01/27/2017

ALL TOGETHER NOW: 95 MILLION AMERICANS NOT IN THE LABOR FORCE


01/20/2017

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT: ALL IS QUIET BEFORE THE STORM


01/13/2017

ECONOMY RUNS OUT OF WORKERS TO HIRE, AT LEAST WAGES ARE UP


01/06/2017

BOND MARKET EXPLAINED


12/30/2016

FED RAISES RATES BUT YELLEN DOWNPLAYS THE "VERY TINY" SHIFTS IN THE FORECASTS


12/16/2016

2017 OUTLOOK FOR THE ECONOMY AND MARKETS


12/09/2016

Unemployment rate breaks the sound barrier: 12 o'clock and all is well


12/02/2016

HOUSING STARTS ARE PICKING UP AND SHOULD START ADDING TO GROWTH AGAIN


11/28/2016

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT: NOT AS BIG AS YOU THINK, NOT AS POWERFUL AS YOU THINK


11/18/2016

BOND MARKET DOESN'T SEEM TO LIKE PRESIDENT-ELECT TRUMP 10-YR YIELDS BREAK HIGHER ABOVE 2%


11/11/2016

ANOTHER TURN OF THE SCREW TIGHTER FOR THE LABOR MARKET WITH WAGES STARTING TO SOAR


11/4/2016

GDP BACK ABOVE 2% AGAIN AFTER 3 QUARTERS BELOW, DEMAND COULD BE STRONGER


10/28/2016

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT ARISING WITH THE FULL YEAR 2016 RESULTS $587 BILLION


10/21/2016

LETTING THE ECONOMY RUN A LITTLE LONGER TO REDUCE THE SLACK IN THE LABOR MARKET


10/14/2016

156K Payroll jobs slower restrained by Category 4 force headwinds


10/07/2016

CONSUMERS BECOME MORE WARY AS ELECTION UNCERTAINTY LIES DEAD AHEAD


9/30/2016

END OF QUARTER, NO FED RATE HIKE AGAIN, TIME TO UPDATE THE OL' INTEREST RATE FORECAST


9/23/2016

WHAT DOES INFLATION HAVE TO DO WITH THE FED'S MANDATE? IS INFLATION TOO LOW?


9/16/2016

FED'S LOW RATES POLICY HAS OVERSTAYED ITS WELCOME LOOKING AT SOARING PRIVATE NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION


9/9/2016

151K PAYROLL JOBS WON'T BE ENOUGH FOR A FED RATE HIKE


9/2/2016

SECOND LOOK AT SECOND QUARTER REAL GDP IT'S NOW 1.1%, OH, AND YELLEN SPOKE AT JACKSON HOLE


8/26/2016

FED SAYS BREXIT RISKS NOT QUITE ALL BEHIND US, WHAT NEXT? PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UNCERTAINTY? “120 MILLION VOTES UP FOR GRABS”


8/19/2016

255K PAYROLL JOBS IN JULY AND A 292K INCREASE IN JOBS IN JUNE PUT A RATE HIKE BACK ON THE TABLE IN SEPTEMBER (WE THINK)


8/5/2016

MEANWHILE, AFTER THINKING ON IT, AFTER REVISIONS, GDP GROWTH IS NOT SO HOT...

7/29/2016

HOUSING CONSTRUCTION NOWHERE NEAR 2001 RECESSION LOWS LET ALONE HOUSING BUBBLE HIGHS

7/22/2016

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT LOW FOR NOW, BUT PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IS DEAD AHEAD

7/15/2016

287K jobs in June, are you happy now? No, didn't think so.

7/8/2016

GDP UP TO 1.1% NOW IN Q1 2016 AFTER STARTING AT 0.5%: FIRST LOOK Q2 2016 ON JULY 29

7/1/2016

BOND MARKET VALUATION FOR THE BRAVE NEW WORLD

6/24/2016

FED BRAVELY STANDS ITS GROUND THIS WEEK: DOES NOTHING

6/17/2016

38K NONFARM PAYROLL JOBS, REAL OR UNREAL, CAUTIOUS FED UNLIKELY TO CHOOSE JUNE

6/3/2016

REAL GDP UPGRADED TO 0.8% IN Q1, CONSUMER SAYS ALL IS WELL AS BUSINESS INVESTMENT SPUTTERS

5/27/2016

Commercial real estate construction is very, very strong outside of mining/oil & gas structures

5/20/2016

HOW'S THE CONSUMER LOOKING NOW, TWO-THIRDS OF THE ECONOMY AND ALL

5/13/2016

160K JOBS NOT GOOD ENOUGH FOR A FED BESET BY DOUBTS

5/6/2016

THIS YEAR'S GDP FORECAST 2.2: TOO, TOO SLOW

4/29/2016

HOUSING DATA THIS WEEK SHOW THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK THIS YEAR IS A GLASS HALF-EMPTY OR HALF-FULL OR OVER THE BRIM

4/22/2016

INSTEAD OF MONETARY POLICY CONSIDER FISCAL POLICY TO JUMPSTART GROWTH

4/15/2016

U3, U4, U5, U6 UNEMPLOYMENT NOT A REASON FOR FED NOT TO HIKE, HIKE, HIKE, HIKE

4/8/2016

Another 200 print on Jobs, someone ring a bell, wake up the market

4/1/2016

AMERICA'S INDUSTRIAL RECESSION

3/25/2016

FED SLAMS ON BRAKES, FOUR RATE HIKES IN 2016 NOW DOWN TO TWO

3/18/2016

242K PAYROLL JOBS IN FEBRUARY WITH 30K UPWARD REVISIONS

3/4/2016

REAL GDP REVISED UP TO 1.0% IN Q4 2015

2/26/2016

Inflation--upgraded in importance by Fed; Inflation--same as it ever was

2/19/2016

Commercial real estate is strong outside of mining/oil & gas structures

2/12/2016

151K payroll jobs but who cares with wages up 2.5%

2/5/2016

CAN THE STOCK MARKET TURMOIL DELAY MORE RATE HIKES IN 2016?

1/29/2016

EVERY RECESSION IS CAUSED BY HIGHER OIL PRICES, NOW THE SHOE IS ON THE OTHER FOOT?

1/22/2016

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT RUNNING ABOUT THE SAME IN FIRST THREE MONTHS OF FY2016

1/15/2016

292K jobs: labor market in hyperdrive before Jan. financial markets storm

1/8/2016

2016 OUTLOOK―SWIFT, OR NOT SO SWIFT?

1/1/2016

POST-FED HIKE, BOND YIELDS REMAIN (TOO) TIGHT TO INFLATION

12/18/2015

FED IS GETTING CLOSER, MONEY MARKET SURPRISINGLY IS READY, BUT SHOULD THEY?

12/11/2015

211K JOBS REPORT SEALS THE DEAL FOR FED LIFTOFF

12/4/2015

HOUSING RECOVERY REMAINS ON TRACK

11/27/2015

INFLATION NOT LOW ENOUGH TO STOP LIFTOFF-MANY THINK IT DELAYS FULL RETURN TO 4% NEUTRAL THOUGH

11/20/2015

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE TRENDS VERY, VERY STRONG OUTSIDE OF MINING, OIL AND GAS DRILLING

11/13/2015

NONFARM PAYROLL JOBS +271K IN OCTOBER―STRONG ENOUGH FOR FED LIFTOFF

11/6/2015

REAL GDP MINUS INVENTORIES IS 2.9% IN Q3 2015—STRONG ENOUGH FOR FED LIFTOFF

10/30/2015

FINAL YEAR FEDERAL BUDGET RESULTS ARE IN FOR FISCAL YEAR 2015 ENDING SEPTEMBER

10/16/2015

SEPTEMBER EMPLOYMENT REPORT--GOOD ENOUGH FOR DECEMBER 16 LIFTOFF

10/2/2015

NEW INTEREST RATE FORECAST-SAME AS IT EVER WAS

9/25/2015

REQUEST PERMISSION FOR LIFTOFF: PERMISSION DENIED!

9/18/2015

CAN THE FED RAISE INTEREST RATES ON SEPTEMBER 17?

9/11/2015

AUGUST EMPLOYMENT REPORT -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

9/4/2015

3.7% GDP -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

8/28/2015

SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS: COULD YOU INVEST THE MONEY BETTER YOURSELF?

8/21/2015

215K PAYROLL JOBS -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

8/7/2015

REAL GDP 2.3% -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

7/31/2015

THERE IS SOME INFLATION, IF YOU LOOK WHERE TO FIND IT

7/24/2015

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT TO REMAIN UNDER 3% OF GDP OVER THE NEXT TEN YEARS

7/17/2015

JOBLESS CLAIMS, WORLD ECONOMIC GROWTH, FEDERAL RESERVE NEWS THIS WEEK

7/10/2015

MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT REPORT FAILS TO IMPRESS THE BOND MARKET

7/3/2015

MIDYEAR OUTLOOK FOR U.S. ECONOMY

6/26/2015

YELLEN TELLS US NOT YET

6/19/2015

BUSINESS SPENDING ON CONSTRUCTION FASTER THAN EVER AFTER RECENT REVISION. WHAT UNCERTAINTY?

6/12/2015

280K PAYROLL JOBS, +32K REVISIONS-THE GROWTH SLOWDOWN IS OVER

6/5/2015

THERE ARE NO UNEMPLOYED LEFT IN AMERICA THAT NEED THE FEDERAL RESERVE’S HELP

5/29/2015

RESIDENTIAL HOUSING CONSTRUCTION BOUNCES BACK IN APRIL

5/22/2015

HOW IS MANUFACTURING DOING? ONE OF THE FED’S PRINCIPAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS

5/15/2015

PAYROLL JOBS GROW FASTER IN SPRING: 223K APRIL, 85K MARCH, 266K FEBRUARY, 201K JANUARY

5/8/2015

REAL GDP LOOKS NOT SO REAL IN THE FIRST QUARTER: WEATHER IS

5/1/2015

ECONOMY IS NORMAL; FED POLICY IS NOT. WHAT IS THE “REAL” FED FUNDS RATE, AND WHERE SHOULD RATES BE?

4/24/2015

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT STILL UNDER 3% OF GDP AT MIDYEAR

4/17/2015

BUSINESS SPENDING ON CONSTRUCTION CONTINUES ITS RECOVERY

4/10/2015

THEY TOLD US 200K MONTHLY PAYROLL JOBS WERE NOT SUSTAINABLE, AND A YEAR LATER, SURE ENOUGH, THEY WERE RIGHT!

4/3/2015

BUSINESS CAPITAL SPENDING STILL MOVING AHEAD

3/27/2015

FED FORECASTS SAY SEPTEMBER FOR RATES LIFTOFF, BUT WE THINK THE NEW 5.0-5.2 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE TRIGGER IS KEY FOR TIMING

3/20/2015

WHEN THE FED HIKES RATES, WHAT DOES THE STOCK MARKET DO?

3/13/2015

HUGE PAYROLL JOBS NUMBER PUTS THE BALL BACK IN THE FED’S COURT

3/6/2015

BOND YIELDS BACK AT 2%, WAITING ON THE FED

2/27/2015

GDP SPENDING ON STRUCTURES CONTINUES TO ADVANCE

2/13/2015

HUGE PAYROLL JOBS NUMBERS PUTS THE BALL BACK IN FED’S COURT

2/6/2015

GDP GROWTH FALLS BACK TO EARTH IN Q4 2014 AT 2.6%

1/30/2015

BOND YIELDS BACK DOWN AT 1% “AND CHANGE” AGAIN: NOW WHAT? WHAT DOES IT MEAN THIS TIME?

1/23/2015

BOND YIELDS KEEP FALLING AND SO DOES THE FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT

1/16/2015

IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN THIS FOR THE LABOR MARKET

1/9/2015

2015 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

1/2/2015

Back to Economic Research

="background-color:rgb(205,205,205); padding-left:10px;"> Date

NOT MY INFLATION


04-21-2017

FISCAL STIMULUS REQUIRES FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT SPENDING, DOESN'T IT?


04-14-2017

98K Ouch! Great American Jobs machine stops cranking under Trump


04-07-2017

2.1% GDP FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS WHEN YOU IGNORE "INVESTMENT" TREND


03-31-2017

STOCK MARKET SINKS TRUMP RALLY THIS WEEK WITH 3% LOSS


03-24-2017

FED POLICY IN 2017: ONE DOWN TWO TO GO


03-17-2017

235K JOBS, 4.7% RATE, 2.8% WAGE, HIKE, HIKE HIKE, 50 BPS ANYONE, ANYONE


03-10-2017

GDP ECONOMY IS STILL 1.9%, BUT CONSUMER IS POWER LIFTING 3.0%


03-03-2017

MORE EVIDENCE THAT THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IS OVER 20%


02-24-2017

THE COMMERCIAL BUILDING BOOM CONTINUES UNCHECKED 02-17-2017


02-17-2017

THE HAVES AND HAVE NOTS


02-10-2017

BIG JOBS 227K IN JANUARY AFTER DOWNWARD REVISIONS LAST YEAR


02-03-2017

GDP 1.9% IN FINAL QUARTER OF OBAMA YEARS: 1.6% FOR ALL OF 2016


01/27/2017

ALL TOGETHER NOW: 95 MILLION AMERICANS NOT IN THE LABOR FORCE


01/20/2017

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT: ALL IS QUIET BEFORE THE STORM


01/13/2017

ECONOMY RUNS OUT OF WORKERS TO HIRE, AT LEAST WAGES ARE UP


01/06/2017

BOND MARKET EXPLAINED


12/30/2016

FED RAISES RATES BUT YELLEN DOWNPLAYS THE "VERY TINY" SHIFTS IN THE FORECASTS


12/16/2016

2017 OUTLOOK FOR THE ECONOMY AND MARKETS


12/09/2016

Unemployment rate breaks the sound barrier: 12 o'clock and all is well


12/02/2016

HOUSING STARTS ARE PICKING UP AND SHOULD START ADDING TO GROWTH AGAIN


11/28/2016

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT: NOT AS BIG AS YOU THINK, NOT AS POWERFUL AS YOU THINK


11/18/2016

BOND MARKET DOESN'T SEEM TO LIKE PRESIDENT-ELECT TRUMP 10-YR YIELDS BREAK HIGHER ABOVE 2%


11/11/2016

ANOTHER TURN OF THE SCREW TIGHTER FOR THE LABOR MARKET WITH WAGES STARTING TO SOAR


11/4/2016

GDP BACK ABOVE 2% AGAIN AFTER 3 QUARTERS BELOW, DEMAND COULD BE STRONGER


10/28/2016

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT ARISING WITH THE FULL YEAR 2016 RESULTS $587 BILLION


10/21/2016

LETTING THE ECONOMY RUN A LITTLE LONGER TO REDUCE THE SLACK IN THE LABOR MARKET


10/14/2016

156K Payroll jobs slower restrained by Category 4 force headwinds


10/07/2016

CONSUMERS BECOME MORE WARY AS ELECTION UNCERTAINTY LIES DEAD AHEAD


9/30/2016

END OF QUARTER, NO FED RATE HIKE AGAIN, TIME TO UPDATE THE OL' INTEREST RATE FORECAST


9/23/2016

WHAT DOES INFLATION HAVE TO DO WITH THE FED'S MANDATE? IS INFLATION TOO LOW?


9/16/2016

FED'S LOW RATES POLICY HAS OVERSTAYED ITS WELCOME LOOKING AT SOARING PRIVATE NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION


9/9/2016

151K PAYROLL JOBS WON'T BE ENOUGH FOR A FED RATE HIKE


9/2/2016

SECOND LOOK AT SECOND QUARTER REAL GDP IT'S NOW 1.1%, OH, AND YELLEN SPOKE AT JACKSON HOLE


8/26/2016

FED SAYS BREXIT RISKS NOT QUITE ALL BEHIND US, WHAT NEXT? PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UNCERTAINTY? “120 MILLION VOTES UP FOR GRABS”


8/19/2016

255K PAYROLL JOBS IN JULY AND A 292K INCREASE IN JOBS IN JUNE PUT A RATE HIKE BACK ON THE TABLE IN SEPTEMBER (WE THINK)


8/5/2016

MEANWHILE, AFTER THINKING ON IT, AFTER REVISIONS, GDP GROWTH IS NOT SO HOT...

7/29/2016

HOUSING CONSTRUCTION NOWHERE NEAR 2001 RECESSION LOWS LET ALONE HOUSING BUBBLE HIGHS

7/22/2016

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT LOW FOR NOW, BUT PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IS DEAD AHEAD

7/15/2016

287K jobs in June, are you happy now? No, didn't think so.

7/8/2016

GDP UP TO 1.1% NOW IN Q1 2016 AFTER STARTING AT 0.5%: FIRST LOOK Q2 2016 ON JULY 29

7/1/2016

BOND MARKET VALUATION FOR THE BRAVE NEW WORLD

6/24/2016

FED BRAVELY STANDS ITS GROUND THIS WEEK: DOES NOTHING

6/17/2016

38K NONFARM PAYROLL JOBS, REAL OR UNREAL, CAUTIOUS FED UNLIKELY TO CHOOSE JUNE

6/3/2016

REAL GDP UPGRADED TO 0.8% IN Q1, CONSUMER SAYS ALL IS WELL AS BUSINESS INVESTMENT SPUTTERS

5/27/2016

Commercial real estate construction is very, very strong outside of mining/oil & gas structures

5/20/2016

HOW'S THE CONSUMER LOOKING NOW, TWO-THIRDS OF THE ECONOMY AND ALL

5/13/2016

160K JOBS NOT GOOD ENOUGH FOR A FED BESET BY DOUBTS

5/6/2016

THIS YEAR'S GDP FORECAST 2.2: TOO, TOO SLOW

4/29/2016

HOUSING DATA THIS WEEK SHOW THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK THIS YEAR IS A GLASS HALF-EMPTY OR HALF-FULL OR OVER THE BRIM

4/22/2016

INSTEAD OF MONETARY POLICY CONSIDER FISCAL POLICY TO JUMPSTART GROWTH

4/15/2016

U3, U4, U5, U6 UNEMPLOYMENT NOT A REASON FOR FED NOT TO HIKE, HIKE, HIKE, HIKE

4/8/2016

Another 200 print on Jobs, someone ring a bell, wake up the market

4/1/2016

AMERICA'S INDUSTRIAL RECESSION

3/25/2016

FED SLAMS ON BRAKES, FOUR RATE HIKES IN 2016 NOW DOWN TO TWO

3/18/2016

242K PAYROLL JOBS IN FEBRUARY WITH 30K UPWARD REVISIONS

3/4/2016

REAL GDP REVISED UP TO 1.0% IN Q4 2015

2/26/2016

Inflation--upgraded in importance by Fed; Inflation--same as it ever was

2/19/2016

Commercial real estate is strong outside of mining/oil & gas structures

2/12/2016

151K payroll jobs but who cares with wages up 2.5%

2/5/2016

CAN THE STOCK MARKET TURMOIL DELAY MORE RATE HIKES IN 2016?

1/29/2016

EVERY RECESSION IS CAUSED BY HIGHER OIL PRICES, NOW THE SHOE IS ON THE OTHER FOOT?

1/22/2016

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT RUNNING ABOUT THE SAME IN FIRST THREE MONTHS OF FY2016

1/15/2016

292K jobs: labor market in hyperdrive before Jan. financial markets storm

1/8/2016

2016 OUTLOOK―SWIFT, OR NOT SO SWIFT?

1/1/2016

POST-FED HIKE, BOND YIELDS REMAIN (TOO) TIGHT TO INFLATION

12/18/2015

FED IS GETTING CLOSER, MONEY MARKET SURPRISINGLY IS READY, BUT SHOULD THEY?

12/11/2015

211K JOBS REPORT SEALS THE DEAL FOR FED LIFTOFF

12/4/2015

HOUSING RECOVERY REMAINS ON TRACK

11/27/2015

INFLATION NOT LOW ENOUGH TO STOP LIFTOFF-MANY THINK IT DELAYS FULL RETURN TO 4% NEUTRAL THOUGH

11/20/2015

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE TRENDS VERY, VERY STRONG OUTSIDE OF MINING, OIL AND GAS DRILLING

11/13/2015

NONFARM PAYROLL JOBS +271K IN OCTOBER―STRONG ENOUGH FOR FED LIFTOFF

11/6/2015

REAL GDP MINUS INVENTORIES IS 2.9% IN Q3 2015—STRONG ENOUGH FOR FED LIFTOFF

10/30/2015

FINAL YEAR FEDERAL BUDGET RESULTS ARE IN FOR FISCAL YEAR 2015 ENDING SEPTEMBER

10/16/2015

SEPTEMBER EMPLOYMENT REPORT--GOOD ENOUGH FOR DECEMBER 16 LIFTOFF

10/2/2015

NEW INTEREST RATE FORECAST-SAME AS IT EVER WAS

9/25/2015

REQUEST PERMISSION FOR LIFTOFF: PERMISSION DENIED!

9/18/2015

CAN THE FED RAISE INTEREST RATES ON SEPTEMBER 17?

9/11/2015

AUGUST EMPLOYMENT REPORT -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

9/4/2015

3.7% GDP -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

8/28/2015

SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS: COULD YOU INVEST THE MONEY BETTER YOURSELF?

8/21/2015

215K PAYROLL JOBS -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

8/7/2015

REAL GDP 2.3% -- GOOD ENOUGH FOR SEPTEMBER 17 LIFTOFF

7/31/2015

THERE IS SOME INFLATION, IF YOU LOOK WHERE TO FIND IT

7/24/2015

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT TO REMAIN UNDER 3% OF GDP OVER THE NEXT TEN YEARS

7/17/2015

JOBLESS CLAIMS, WORLD ECONOMIC GROWTH, FEDERAL RESERVE NEWS THIS WEEK

7/10/2015

MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT REPORT FAILS TO IMPRESS THE BOND MARKET

7/3/2015

MIDYEAR OUTLOOK FOR U.S. ECONOMY

6/26/2015

YELLEN TELLS US NOT YET

6/19/2015

BUSINESS SPENDING ON CONSTRUCTION FASTER THAN EVER AFTER RECENT REVISION. WHAT UNCERTAINTY?

6/12/2015

280K PAYROLL JOBS, +32K REVISIONS-THE GROWTH SLOWDOWN IS OVER

6/5/2015

THERE ARE NO UNEMPLOYED LEFT IN AMERICA THAT NEED THE FEDERAL RESERVE’S HELP

5/29/2015

RESIDENTIAL HOUSING CONSTRUCTION BOUNCES BACK IN APRIL

5/22/2015

HOW IS MANUFACTURING DOING? ONE OF THE FED’S PRINCIPAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS

5/15/2015

PAYROLL JOBS GROW FASTER IN SPRING: 223K APRIL, 85K MARCH, 266K FEBRUARY, 201K JANUARY

5/8/2015

REAL GDP LOOKS NOT SO REAL IN THE FIRST QUARTER: WEATHER IS

5/1/2015

ECONOMY IS NORMAL; FED POLICY IS NOT. WHAT IS THE “REAL” FED FUNDS RATE, AND WHERE SHOULD RATES BE?

4/24/2015

FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT STILL UNDER 3% OF GDP AT MIDYEAR

4/17/2015

BUSINESS SPENDING ON CONSTRUCTION CONTINUES ITS RECOVERY

4/10/2015

THEY TOLD US 200K MONTHLY PAYROLL JOBS WERE NOT SUSTAINABLE, AND A YEAR LATER, SURE ENOUGH, THEY WERE RIGHT!

4/3/2015

BUSINESS CAPITAL SPENDING STILL MOVING AHEAD

3/27/2015

FED FORECASTS SAY SEPTEMBER FOR RATES LIFTOFF, BUT WE THINK THE NEW 5.0-5.2 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE TRIGGER IS KEY FOR TIMING

3/20/2015

WHEN THE FED HIKES RATES, WHAT DOES THE STOCK MARKET DO?

3/13/2015

HUGE PAYROLL JOBS NUMBER PUTS THE BALL BACK IN THE FED’S COURT

3/6/2015

BOND YIELDS BACK AT 2%, WAITING ON THE FED

2/27/2015

GDP SPENDING ON STRUCTURES CONTINUES TO ADVANCE

2/13/2015

HUGE PAYROLL JOBS NUMBERS PUTS THE BALL BACK IN FED’S COURT

2/6/2015

GDP GROWTH FALLS BACK TO EARTH IN Q4 2014 AT 2.6%

1/30/2015

BOND YIELDS BACK DOWN AT 1% “AND CHANGE” AGAIN: NOW WHAT? WHAT DOES IT MEAN THIS TIME?

1/23/2015

BOND YIELDS KEEP FALLING AND SO DOES THE FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT

1/16/2015

IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN THIS FOR THE LABOR MARKET

1/9/2015

2015 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

1/2/2015

Back to Economic Research

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