Global Markets Podcasts

In Part 3 and the final in our podcast series for the Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, interviews Bill Matthews, MUFG High Yield Credit Analyst, on his outlook for the HY Credit market in 2022. George and Bill discuss the Fed-induced financial conditions tightening among other things, where the High Yield market is not immune to any meaningful repricing of risk assets, but its lower duration footprint and strong credit fundamentals is leading it to trade, for now, towards the bottom of our forecast spread range.

In Part 2 of the Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, interviews Eric Ruff, Investment Grade Credit Analyst, on his outlook for the IG Credit market in 2022. George and Eric discuss the overall credit spread outlook of the IG Index for the year, their views on focus sectors, and the resilience of the IG market in light of the risks of tighter Fed policy and financial conditions, which may lead to potential volatility ahead.

In Part 1 of the Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, interviews Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy on his 2022 outlook. George and Glenn discuss the issuance outlook and dynamics of the agency MBS market, and the outlook for the overall U.S. residential housing market against the backdrop of Federal Reserve tightening and QE tapering.

In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects the key points to follow in Japanese politics, the MoF’s plans for JGB issuance, the BoJ’s monetary operations and JPY flow of funds for the first half of 2022. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis

In today’s episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves briefly goes over his recently published 2022 Macro2Markets outlook report, where he provides the topics covered in the report and goes into his macro framework for the year ahead. On the more tactical side, George also gives us his latest list of factors that he will be watching for in the early days of 2022.

In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects the results of the BoJ’s December meeting as well as Japan stock, JGB, and foreign bond flows in November, while looking ahead to Japanese investors’ U.S. bond flows in 2022, based on USTIC and BoP data. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.

In today’s episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves provides his view on the upcoming and last FOMC meeting of 2021. As our title suggests, the Fed could be heading into a Catch-22 in 2022, where the challenge now is that financial conditions and market sentiment linked to it are so intertwined with the Fed’s balance-sheet. Thus as the Fed tapers faster and pulls forward hikes in 2022, the give and take between rates and financial conditions more broadly will likely dictate how far and how high the Fed can lift rates before materially impacting markets to the downside.

In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the December BoJ Tankan survey, the upcoming BoJ December meeting, and first half fiscal year 2021 life insurance company earnings. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.

In today's episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the 2021 year in review and his outlook for 2022, as well as near-term monetary supply and fiscal fund supply and demand dynamics. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.

In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the revisions to the FY21 JGB issuance plans and implications for JPY rates as well as cross-border flow information from recently released September TIC data. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.