In this regular podcast series, MUFG subject matter experts within our business discuss the forces, indications, and policies that impact the U.S. economy and financial markets, and provide updates to their economic outlooks and forecasts for the weeks, months, and years ahead.
Investment Grade Credit: A year of sector and credit picking ahead: Part 2 of 3 Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook
In Part 2 of the Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, interviews Eric Ruff, Investment Grade Credit Analyst, on his outlook for the IG Credit market in 2022. George and Eric discuss the overall credit spread outlook of the IG Index for the year, their views on focus sectors, and the resilience of the IG market in light of the risks of tighter Fed policy and financial conditions, which may lead to potential volatility ahead.
Agency MBS: Orderly normalization supported by strong fundamentals – Part 1 of 3 Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook
In Part 1 of the Macro2Markets 2022 Outlook, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, interviews Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy on his 2022 outlook. George and Glenn discuss the issuance outlook and dynamics of the agency MBS market, and the outlook for the overall U.S. residential housing market against the backdrop of Federal Reserve tightening and QE tapering.
Understanding changes to JGB issuance and BoJ incentive deposit schemes
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects the key points to follow in Japanese politics, the MoF’s plans for JGB issuance, the BoJ’s monetary operations and JPY flow of funds for the first half of 2022. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis
2022 Macro2Markets Outlook
In today’s episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves briefly goes over his recently published 2022 Macro2Markets outlook report, where he provides the topics covered in the report and goes into his macro framework for the year ahead. On the more tactical side, George also gives us his latest list of factors that he will be watching for in the early days of 2022.
Will Japanese investor appetite for U.S. bonds continue to grow in 2022?
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects the results of the BoJ’s December meeting as well as Japan stock, JGB, and foreign bond flows in November, while looking ahead to Japanese investors’ U.S. bond flows in 2022, based on USTIC and BoP data. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
December FOMC Preview: Heading into a Catch-22?
In today’s episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves provides his view on the upcoming and last FOMC meeting of 2021. As our title suggests, the Fed could be heading into a Catch-22 in 2022, where the challenge now is that financial conditions and market sentiment linked to it are so intertwined with the Fed’s balance-sheet. Thus as the Fed tapers faster and pulls forward hikes in 2022, the give and take between rates and financial conditions more broadly will likely dictate how far and how high the Fed can lift rates before materially impacting markets to the downside.
Omicron weighs on Tankan and the BoJ while Lifers show clear signs of recovery
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the December BoJ Tankan survey, the upcoming BoJ December meeting, and first half fiscal year 2021 life insurance company earnings. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
2021 Japanese financial markets in review, and what to expect in 2022
In today's episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the 2021 year in review and his outlook for 2022, as well as near-term monetary supply and fiscal fund supply and demand dynamics. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
Omicron variants of Japanese fiscal stimulus
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the revisions to the FY21 JGB issuance plans and implications for JPY rates as well as cross-border flow information from recently released September TIC data. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
Cross-Border discussions: The latest on fiscal and CB policy views from Japan and the U.S.
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido and MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves discuss the latest on fiscal and cross-border policy views from Japan and the U.S. and what to expect ahead.
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Head of Rates Sales, Americas
New York, NY
Head of U.S. Macro Strategy
New York, NY
Chief Japan Strategist
Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy
The podcast content above is being provided for educational and informational purposes only. The information and comments are not the views or opinions of MUFG Union Bank, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Please consult your attorney, accountant or tax or financial advisor with regard to your particular situation.